PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
dribblingbanana69manekinekoNIULAI40xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144
Record (consensus markets)no settled market87% (337–52, n=389)93% (7447–566, n=8013)93% (56495–4187, n=60682)
Consensus PnL—$76K$103K$7.2M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #707Hand-pickedPM monthly #353PM monthly #706
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position75% (9 of 12 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Crypto +10 pts n=4923, ROI +13%
  • Crypto +36 pts n=61974, ROI +38%
Weakest topic—Politics −2 pts, n=55——
Settled positions, side won—86% of 444 at avg 85¢, ROI +1%99% of 4923 at avg 88¢, ROI +13%100% of 61974 at avg 64¢, ROI +38%
Entries under 30¢—8% (won 9% of 34)1% (won 17% of 59)3% (won 100% of 1837)
Entries 30–50¢—4% (won 35% of 17)1% (won 86% of 42)16% (won 100% of 9770)
Entries 50–70¢—5% (won 63% of 24)3% (won 96% of 139)44% (won 100% of 27390)
Entries 70¢ and up—83% (won 97% of 369)95% (won 100% of 4683)37% (won 100% of 22977)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.