PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
dribblingbanana69noreasapaticklepickles444Kangta8585
Record (consensus markets)no settled market93% (3625–260, n=3885)89% (8–1, n=9)67% (1055–511, n=1566)
Consensus PnL—$139K$25K$350K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #707was PM monthly #977PM monthly #666was PM monthly #863
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position40% (2 of 5 open)100% (1 of 1 open)100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Science −3 pts, n=22—College Basketball −4 pts, n=55
Settled positions, side won—93% of 3804 at avg 92¢, ROI +1%100% of 9 at avg 66¢, ROI +9%67% of 2102 at avg 58¢, ROI +8%
Entries under 30¢—6% (won 13% of 225)0%4% (won 26% of 81)
Entries 30–50¢—1% (won 51% of 55)11% (won 100% of 1)24% (won 53% of 507)
Entries 50–70¢—1% (won 72% of 39)33% (won 100% of 3)50% (won 70% of 1052)
Entries 70¢ and up—92% (won 100% of 3485)56% (won 100% of 5)22% (won 84% of 462)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.