PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
kingofcoinflipsLudotryasskaVitaaalya0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144
Record (consensus markets)31% (57–124, n=181)65% (34–18, n=52)66% (72–37, n=109)93% (56495–4187, n=60682)
Consensus PnL$354K$3.3K$76K$7.2M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #918was PM monthly #891Hand-pickedPM monthly #706
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position71% (5 of 7 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Crypto +20 pts n=150, ROI −5%
  • Crypto +36 pts n=61974, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won88% of 152 at avg 68¢, ROI +2%88% of 41 at avg 74¢, ROI +14%62% of 233 at avg 54¢, ROI +1%100% of 61974 at avg 64¢, ROI +38%
Entries under 30¢14% (won 23% of 22)0%33% (won 21% of 76)3% (won 100% of 1837)
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 100% of 7)10% (won 25% of 4)10% (won 26% of 23)16% (won 100% of 9770)
Entries 50–70¢22% (won 97% of 33)32% (won 92% of 13)15% (won 76% of 34)44% (won 100% of 27390)
Entries 70¢ and up59% (won 100% of 90)59% (won 96% of 24)43% (won 97% of 100)37% (won 100% of 22977)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.