PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
kingofcoinflipstiger105NIULAI4Kangta8585
Record (consensus markets)31% (57–124, n=181)65% (96–51, n=147)93% (7447–566, n=8013)67% (1055–511, n=1566)
Consensus PnL$354K$39K$103K$350K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #918was PM monthly #985PM monthly #353was PM monthly #863
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • Crypto +20 pts n=150, ROI −5%
  • Crypto +10 pts n=4923, ROI +13%
Weakest topic———College Basketball −4 pts, n=55
Settled positions, side won88% of 152 at avg 68¢, ROI +2%100% of 95 at avg 61¢, ROI +34%99% of 4923 at avg 88¢, ROI +13%67% of 2102 at avg 58¢, ROI +8%
Entries under 30¢14% (won 23% of 22)1% (won 100% of 1)1% (won 17% of 59)4% (won 26% of 81)
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 100% of 7)24% (won 100% of 23)1% (won 86% of 42)24% (won 53% of 507)
Entries 50–70¢22% (won 97% of 33)51% (won 100% of 48)3% (won 96% of 139)50% (won 70% of 1052)
Entries 70¢ and up59% (won 100% of 90)24% (won 100% of 23)95% (won 100% of 4683)22% (won 84% of 462)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.