PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BigMackyG0xc1acc10x7E2eca4FDc6Df066a3f50054A8824485fb3cB8d3-1777503653286Wintermelongcr
Record (consensus markets)31% (119–269, n=388)93% (28–2, n=30)63% (395–236, n=631)93% (56–4, n=60)
Consensus PnL$61K-$3.6K$1.0K-$9.2K
Tracked asPM monthly #441was PM monthly #642PM monthly #995PM monthly #598
Sides with the consensus45% (10 of 22 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position100% (3 of 3 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won77% of 153 at avg 39¢, ROI +25%100% of 27 at avg 91¢, ROI +9%58% of 379 at avg 51¢, ROI +1%100% of 6 at avg 79¢, ROI −65%
Entries under 30¢36% (won 51% of 55)0%1% (won 20% of 5)0%
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 90% of 40)0%70% (won 56% of 266)17% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢27% (won 90% of 41)4% (won 100% of 1)22% (won 56% of 85)0%
Entries 70¢ and up11% (won 100% of 17)96% (won 100% of 26)6% (won 91% of 23)83% (won 100% of 5)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.