PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BigMackyGtryingout10x071641292ee6fac7bc752e05a1a536f7654c522bLackvill
Record (consensus markets)31% (119–269, n=388)88% (50–7, n=57)49% (49–50, n=99)49% (98–103, n=201)
Consensus PnL$61K$13K-$1.9K$4.5K
Tracked asPM monthly #441Hand-pickedwas PM monthly #958was PM monthly #968
Sides with the consensus45% (10 of 22 open)100% (7 of 7 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • Crypto +38 pts n=12, ROI +13%
  • Soccer +13 pts n=30, ROI +25%
  • NFL +5 pts n=52, ROI +22%
Weakest topic—Elections −3 pts, n=18Tennis −4 pts, n=64—
Settled positions, side won77% of 153 at avg 39¢, ROI +25%87% of 116 at avg 83¢, ROI +4%92% of 65 at avg 95¢, ROI −5%60% of 195 at avg 52¢, ROI +11%
Entries under 30¢36% (won 51% of 55)8% (won 0% of 9)5% (won 67% of 3)20% (won 15% of 39)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 90% of 40)2% (won 0% of 2)0%19% (won 53% of 38)
Entries 50–70¢27% (won 90% of 41)7% (won 88% of 8)0%37% (won 68% of 73)
Entries 70¢ and up11% (won 100% of 17)84% (won 97% of 97)95% (won 94% of 62)23% (won 91% of 45)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.