PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
caliber360VRVTeamBlackMoney7qiu3
Record (consensus markets)no settled marketno settled market85% (17–3, n=20)89% (8–1, n=9)
Consensus PnL——$23K$32K
Tracked asPM monthly #899PM monthly #966PM monthly #894was PM monthly #573
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)50% (1 of 2 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—52% of 65 at avg 27¢, ROI +5%90% of 20 at avg 49¢, ROI +39%98% of 43 at avg 57¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢—57% (won 41% of 37)10% (won 100% of 2)5% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢—32% (won 57% of 21)35% (won 71% of 7)26% (won 91% of 11)
Entries 50–70¢—8% (won 100% of 5)50% (won 100% of 10)56% (won 100% of 24)
Entries 70¢ and up—3% (won 100% of 2)5% (won 100% of 1)14% (won 100% of 6)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.