PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
caliber360VRVTeamliquiditycrisisSisyphus-
Record (consensus markets)no settled marketno settled market100% (5–0, n=5)95% (510–28, n=538)
Consensus PnL——$296K$466K
Tracked asPM monthly #899PM monthly #966PM monthly #56PM monthly #167
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)50% (1 of 2 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +48 pts n=13, ROI +49%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—52% of 65 at avg 27¢, ROI +5%100% of 22 at avg 52¢, ROI +49%99% of 714 at avg 59¢, ROI +38%
Entries under 30¢—57% (won 41% of 37)0%2% (won 93% of 15)
Entries 30–50¢—32% (won 57% of 21)27% (won 100% of 6)25% (won 98% of 176)
Entries 50–70¢—8% (won 100% of 5)73% (won 100% of 16)48% (won 99% of 342)
Entries 70¢ and up—3% (won 100% of 2)0%25% (won 100% of 181)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.