PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
bubanana0xd9670ea74384c1e1b9dc1e4267ffadaf4cdd140liquiditycrisisSisyphus-
Record (consensus markets)no settled market88% (35–5, n=40)100% (5–0, n=5)95% (510–28, n=538)
Consensus PnL—$1.2M$296K$466K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #936was PM monthly #77PM monthly #56PM monthly #167
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +48 pts n=13, ROI +49%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won74% of 87 at avg 47¢, ROI +33%100% of 32 at avg 55¢, ROI +40%100% of 22 at avg 52¢, ROI +49%99% of 714 at avg 59¢, ROI +38%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 71% of 7)0%0%2% (won 93% of 15)
Entries 30–50¢52% (won 67% of 45)47% (won 100% of 15)27% (won 100% of 6)25% (won 98% of 176)
Entries 50–70¢34% (won 80% of 30)31% (won 100% of 10)73% (won 100% of 16)48% (won 99% of 342)
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 100% of 5)22% (won 100% of 7)0%25% (won 100% of 181)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.