← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| brokemaxdegen | exstnc | CentralCasting | LonnieHawkins | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 89% (17–2, n=19) | 92% (45–4, n=49) | 49% (1265–1326, n=2591) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $29K | $450K | $331K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #895 | was PM monthly #888 | was PM monthly #439 | PM monthly #114 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 67% of 70 at avg 59¢, ROI +12% | 95% of 22 at avg 44¢, ROI +52% | 95% of 44 at avg 58¢, ROI +26% | 77% of 1140 at avg 66¢, ROI +8% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 40% of 5) | 9% (won 100% of 2) | 0% | 16% (won 31% of 184) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 14% (won 30% of 10) | 64% (won 93% of 14) | 57% (won 96% of 25) | 13% (won 60% of 146) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 54% (won 71% of 38) | 27% (won 100% of 6) | 18% (won 100% of 8) | 17% (won 77% of 192) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 88% of 17) | 0% | 25% (won 91% of 11) | 54% (won 94% of 618) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.