PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
boyauChampions26Tyatsmr
Record (consensus markets)no settled market64% (381–212, n=593)62% (186–112, n=298)
Consensus PnL—$19K$19K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #776was PM monthly #597PM monthly #986
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position40% (2 of 5 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
  • Mentions +39 pts n=17, ROI +63%
  • NFL +20 pts n=104, ROI +17%
  • Tech +30 pts n=19, ROI +40%
Weakest topic—Soccer −1 pts, n=372Elections −3 pts, n=42
Settled positions, side won—62% of 378 at avg 63¢, ROI +3%67% of 247 at avg 51¢, ROI +13%
Entries under 30¢—4% (won 35% of 17)30% (won 19% of 74)
Entries 30–50¢—9% (won 34% of 35)17% (won 59% of 41)
Entries 50–70¢—52% (won 59% of 196)17% (won 93% of 42)
Entries 70¢ and up—34% (won 78% of 130)36% (won 98% of 90)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.