PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
boyauTrippleEXTyatsmr
Record (consensus markets)no settled market60% (301–199, n=500)62% (186–112, n=298)
Consensus PnL—-$213K$19K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #776was PM monthly #883PM monthly #986
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position0% (0 of 1 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Mentions +39 pts n=17, ROI +63%
  • NFL +20 pts n=104, ROI +17%
  • Tech +30 pts n=19, ROI +40%
Weakest topic—Esports −4 pts, n=421Elections −3 pts, n=42
Settled positions, side won—62% of 486 at avg 64¢, ROI −3%67% of 247 at avg 51¢, ROI +13%
Entries under 30¢—3% (won 23% of 13)30% (won 19% of 74)
Entries 30–50¢—14% (won 36% of 67)17% (won 59% of 41)
Entries 50–70¢—49% (won 56% of 237)17% (won 93% of 42)
Entries 70¢ and up—35% (won 83% of 169)36% (won 98% of 90)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.