PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
boyau0x351f51e4a6e48d36c79ada2e0ed3fe43929db0d80x04c3e0754b73eb7738eaf3e2f5ce77017841a2e9maiqiuyangjia
Record (consensus markets)no settled market64% (93–52, n=145)48% (52–57, n=109)65% (34–18, n=52)
Consensus PnL—$34K-$36$224K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #776was PM monthly #991was PM monthly #1000was PM monthly #403
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
  • Soccer +36 pts n=38, ROI +34%
  • NBA +24 pts n=21, ROI +7%
Weakest topic—Esports −3 pts, n=47Tennis −3 pts, n=83—
Settled positions, side won—63% of 129 at avg 61¢, ROI +9%96% of 84 at avg 100¢, ROI −1%77% of 78 at avg 45¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢—7% (won 33% of 9)0%6% (won 20% of 5)
Entries 30–50¢—23% (won 40% of 30)0%73% (won 86% of 57)
Entries 50–70¢—33% (won 60% of 43)0%21% (won 63% of 16)
Entries 70¢ and up—36% (won 85% of 47)100% (won 96% of 84)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.