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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| boyau | EsperanzasDESTROYER | Tyatsmr | NiceDuckBro | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 61% (46–29, n=75) | no settled market | 65% (161–87, n=248) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $14K | — | -$13K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #776 | was PM monthly #1000 | PM monthly #986 | Hand-picked |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 80% (4 of 5 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 64% (9 of 14 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | Elections −3 pts, n=42 | Mentions −7 pts, n=19 |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 80% of 35 at avg 45¢, ROI +18% | 67% of 247 at avg 51¢, ROI +13% | 65% of 326 at avg 65¢, ROI −1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 31% (won 73% of 11) | 30% (won 19% of 74) | 13% (won 2% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 20% (won 57% of 7) | 17% (won 59% of 41) | 14% (won 33% of 45) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 29% (won 90% of 10) | 17% (won 93% of 42) | 21% (won 69% of 67) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 20% (won 100% of 7) | 36% (won 98% of 90) | 52% (won 88% of 171) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.