PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
boyauKev690x351f51e4a6e48d36c79ada2e0ed3fe43929db0d80x071641292ee6fac7bc752e05a1a536f7654c522b
Record (consensus markets)no settled market58% (622–445, n=1067)64% (93–52, n=145)49% (49–50, n=99)
Consensus PnL—$61K$34K-$1.9K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #776was PM monthly #845was PM monthly #991was PM monthly #958
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • MLB +35 pts n=132, ROI +39%
  • NHL +32 pts n=52, ROI +32%
  • Soccer +28 pts n=127, ROI +28%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Esports −3 pts, n=47Tennis −4 pts, n=64
Settled positions, side won—82% of 847 at avg 59¢, ROI +22%63% of 129 at avg 61¢, ROI +9%92% of 65 at avg 95¢, ROI −5%
Entries under 30¢—9% (won 37% of 76)7% (won 33% of 9)5% (won 67% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢—18% (won 72% of 156)23% (won 40% of 30)0%
Entries 50–70¢—42% (won 89% of 358)33% (won 60% of 43)0%
Entries 70¢ and up—30% (won 91% of 257)36% (won 85% of 47)95% (won 94% of 62)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.