PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
boyauKev690x8c954010a6edf997aa05835f63c798b33e8f00feasdaasda
Record (consensus markets)no settled market58% (622–445, n=1067)60% (3–2, n=5)68% (625–289, n=914)
Consensus PnL—$61K$511$68K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #776was PM monthly #845was PM monthly #1000PM monthly #325
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • MLB +35 pts n=132, ROI +39%
  • NHL +32 pts n=52, ROI +32%
  • Soccer +28 pts n=127, ROI +28%
none with 10+ settled
  • Crypto +36 pts n=421, ROI +40%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—82% of 847 at avg 59¢, ROI +22%0% of 3 at avg 2¢, ROI +80%99% of 421 at avg 63¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢—9% (won 37% of 76)100% (won 0% of 3)5% (won 90% of 21)
Entries 30–50¢—18% (won 72% of 156)0%16% (won 99% of 69)
Entries 50–70¢—42% (won 89% of 358)0%43% (won 99% of 182)
Entries 70¢ and up—30% (won 91% of 257)0%35% (won 100% of 149)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.