PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
borderlocketnotgoodluck00gringo00CORGII
Record (consensus markets)98% (44–1, n=45)63% (209–125, n=334)75% (6–2, n=8)63% (372–218, n=590)
Consensus PnL$19K-$49K$3.5M$4.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #711PM monthly #616was PM monthly #19PM monthly #162
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position50% (1 of 2 open)no open consensus position50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Soccer −8 pts, n=92——
Settled positions, side won100% of 40 at avg 59¢, ROI +41%60% of 346 at avg 59¢, ROI −3%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%98% of 378 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 100% of 3)16% (won 14% of 56)0%9% (won 91% of 35)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 100% of 10)20% (won 36% of 70)0%55% (won 99% of 209)
Entries 50–70¢33% (won 100% of 13)29% (won 63% of 99)100% (won 86% of 7)34% (won 100% of 127)
Entries 70¢ and up35% (won 100% of 14)35% (won 92% of 121)0%2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.