PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
yesmateDaWinci
Record (consensus markets)55% (281–230, n=511)67% (14–7, n=21)
Consensus PnL$314K$33K
Tracked asPM monthly #654PM monthly #506
Sides with the consensus100% (3 of 3 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +5 pts n=346, ROI +7%
  • Soccer +6 pts n=69, ROI +33%
  • NBA +10 pts n=24, ROI +3%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNFL −6 pts, n=11—
Settled positions, side won60% of 499 at avg 55¢, ROI +13%100% of 14 at avg 60¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢18% (won 17% of 89)7% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 47% of 124)21% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢25% (won 60% of 125)36% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up32% (won 95% of 161)36% (won 100% of 5)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.