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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| balerinacapuchina | LuckyWin | NiNo999 | RJW1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 88% (693–98, n=791) | 88% (488–65, n=553) | 65% (104–57, n=161) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $29K | $9.7M | $6.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #471 | was PM monthly #579 | was PM monthly #985 | was PM monthly #701 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 80% (4 of 5 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −7 pts, n=48 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 88% of 738 at avg 88¢, ROI 0% | 90% of 502 at avg 50¢, ROI +42% | 98% of 106 at avg 47¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 7% (won 8% of 48) | 7% (won 81% of 37) | 9% (won 100% of 10) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 4% (won 44% of 32) | 39% (won 85% of 197) | 36% (won 95% of 38) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 7% (won 56% of 48) | 49% (won 94% of 244) | 55% (won 100% of 58) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 83% (won 99% of 610) | 5% (won 96% of 24) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | balerinacapuchina | LuckyWin | NiNo999 | RJW1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $256 | Yes $1 | — | — |