PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
andy89800xd9670ea74384c1e1b9dc1e4267ffadaf4cdd140seeeeeebmachinelearned
Record (consensus markets)no settled market88% (35–5, n=40)88% (323–43, n=366)65% (2206–1190, n=3396)
Consensus PnL—$1.2M$87$35K
Tracked asPM monthly #128was PM monthly #77PM monthly #986PM monthly #562
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position100% (4 of 4 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • Crypto +25 pts n=1294, ROI +21%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won92% of 13 at avg 76¢, ROI +21%100% of 32 at avg 55¢, ROI +40%97% of 108 at avg 80¢, ROI −4%98% of 1295 at avg 73¢, ROI +21%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 0% of 1)0%6% (won 50% of 6)3% (won 64% of 42)
Entries 30–50¢0%47% (won 100% of 15)6% (won 100% of 6)6% (won 93% of 75)
Entries 50–70¢8% (won 100% of 1)31% (won 100% of 10)14% (won 100% of 15)28% (won 100% of 360)
Entries 70¢ and up85% (won 100% of 11)22% (won 100% of 7)75% (won 100% of 81)63% (won 100% of 818)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.