PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
andy8980zxdfbdfgngcxvSisyphus-
Record (consensus markets)no settled market88% (954–131, n=1085)95% (504–28, n=532)
Consensus PnL—$81K$466K
Tracked asPM monthly #128was PM monthly #851 + pinnedPM monthly #167
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position80% (49 of 61 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—Finance −3 pts, n=61—
Settled positions, side won92% of 13 at avg 76¢, ROI +21%81% of 1781 at avg 79¢, ROI +2%99% of 714 at avg 59¢, ROI +38%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 0% of 1)13% (won 9% of 237)2% (won 93% of 15)
Entries 30–50¢0%5% (won 51% of 87)25% (won 98% of 176)
Entries 50–70¢8% (won 100% of 1)6% (won 56% of 102)48% (won 99% of 342)
Entries 70¢ and up85% (won 100% of 11)76% (won 97% of 1355)25% (won 100% of 181)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.