PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
akoollshijiebeiyingshibeiSmallFishInWhaleStomach0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592
Record (consensus markets)no settled market46% (150–176, n=326)89% (122–15, n=137)92% (705–64, n=769)
Consensus PnL—$178K$96K$14.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #841was PM monthly #715PM monthly #926was PM monthly #999
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic——Geopolitics −1 pts, n=44—
Settled positions, side won—52% of 265 at avg 42¢, ROI +12%86% of 155 at avg 80¢, ROI +3%99% of 731 at avg 59¢, ROI +42%
Entries under 30¢—47% (won 20% of 125)8% (won 8% of 13)2% (won 100% of 14)
Entries 30–50¢—13% (won 57% of 35)8% (won 62% of 13)15% (won 97% of 113)
Entries 50–70¢—13% (won 76% of 34)8% (won 69% of 13)65% (won 99% of 477)
Entries 70¢ and up—27% (won 94% of 71)75% (won 100% of 116)17% (won 100% of 127)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.