PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
akoollNomorepredictzhuz632BBQChickenisthebesttt
Record (consensus markets)no settled market59% (129–90, n=219)59% (238–168, n=406)59% (490–339, n=829)
Consensus PnL—-$10K$1.0M-$113K
Tracked asPM monthly #841PM monthly #942PM monthly #952was PM monthly #661
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)100% (3 of 3 open)50% (1 of 2 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
  • Soccer +47 pts n=238, ROI +47%
Weakest topic—NBA −1 pts, n=122—Crypto −8 pts, n=10
Settled positions, side won—53% of 255 at avg 55¢, ROI −3%99% of 238 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%94% of 558 at avg 62¢, ROI +34%
Entries under 30¢—26% (won 8% of 66)0% (won 100% of 1)3% (won 56% of 16)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 38% of 42)34% (won 100% of 82)16% (won 88% of 89)
Entries 50–70¢—18% (won 57% of 47)64% (won 99% of 152)49% (won 96% of 272)
Entries 70¢ and up—39% (won 88% of 100)1% (won 100% of 3)32% (won 98% of 181)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.