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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Zaratustra | pspspsps5 | machinelearned | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 63% (11398–6646, n=18044) | 65% (2219–1202, n=3421) | 67% (469–231, n=700) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $274K | $35K | $10.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #492 | PM monthly #568 | PM monthly #548 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 0% (0 of 4 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 76% (53 of 70 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 100% of 7800 at avg 61¢, ROI +37% | 98% of 1295 at avg 73¢, ROI +21% | 97% of 471 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 26% (won 100% of 1995) | 3% (won 64% of 42) | 11% (won 87% of 52) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 13% (won 100% of 988) | 6% (won 93% of 75) | 34% (won 98% of 162) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 14% (won 100% of 1083) | 28% (won 100% of 360) | 33% (won 99% of 154) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 48% (won 100% of 3734) | 63% (won 100% of 818) | 22% (won 100% of 103) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Zaratustra | pspspsps5 | machinelearned | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET opposite sides · consensus Down | — | Up $7 | Down $476 | — |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET opposite sides · consensus Up | — | Down $49 | Up $415 | — |