PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)no settled market67% (223–110, n=333)75% (6–2, n=8)63% (372–218, n=590)
Consensus PnL—$244K$3.5M$4.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #873PM monthly #120was PM monthly #19PM monthly #161
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won94% of 141 at avg 69¢, ROI +18%100% of 183 at avg 62¢, ROI +30%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%98% of 378 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢6% (won 67% of 9)3% (won 100% of 5)0%9% (won 91% of 35)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 74% of 19)19% (won 100% of 34)0%55% (won 99% of 209)
Entries 50–70¢26% (won 97% of 36)46% (won 100% of 85)100% (won 86% of 7)34% (won 100% of 127)
Entries 70¢ and up55% (won 100% of 77)32% (won 100% of 59)0%2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.