PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
X1234567segment3RRRRRRRRLrated
Record (consensus markets)no settled market100% (4–0, n=4)50% (2–2, n=4)46% (227–267, n=494)
Consensus PnL—$16K$161K-$1.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #996was PM monthly #832was PM monthly #324Hand-picked
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position75% (21 of 28 open)no open consensus position39% (12 of 31 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———MLB −2 pts, n=17
Settled positions, side won100% of 5 at avg 49¢, ROI +15%100% of 3 at avg 85¢, ROI +22%100% of 2 at avg 48¢, ROI +52%98% of 5076 at avg 92¢, ROI −32%
Entries under 30¢20% (won 100% of 1)0%0%5% (won 75% of 268)
Entries 30–50¢40% (won 100% of 2)0%100% (won 100% of 2)1% (won 65% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢0%0%0%2% (won 90% of 100)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 100% of 2)100% (won 100% of 3)0%92% (won 100% of 4646)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.