PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Winning2...YYYYY999chriszyy3zhuz632
Record (consensus markets)no settled market49% (2585–2638, n=5223)95% (226–11, n=237)59% (241–170, n=411)
Consensus PnL—$167K$51K$1.0M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #976PM monthly #29 + pinnedHand-pickedwas PM monthly #994
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position56% (15 of 27 open)100% (12 of 12 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Soccer +47 pts n=238, ROI +47%
Weakest topic—Tennis −1 pts, n=386Crypto −2 pts, n=39—
Settled positions, side won—51% of 4315 at avg 49¢, ROI 0%97% of 251 at avg 97¢, ROI +1%99% of 238 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢—14% (won 22% of 597)1% (won 0% of 2)0% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—43% (won 45% of 1867)1% (won 50% of 2)34% (won 100% of 82)
Entries 50–70¢—29% (won 59% of 1253)1% (won 100% of 2)64% (won 99% of 152)
Entries 70¢ and up—14% (won 79% of 598)98% (won 98% of 245)1% (won 100% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.