PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Winning2...YYYYY999ForesightOracle0x3d5a9e66f15e6719927972135501c61efc53a0be
Record (consensus markets)no settled market49% (2585–2638, n=5223)89% (39–5, n=44)92% (298–25, n=323)
Consensus PnL—$167K$140K$4.8K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #976PM monthly #29 + pinnedHand-pickedPM monthly #491
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position56% (15 of 27 open)no open consensus position36% (4 of 11 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Tennis −1 pts, n=386——
Settled positions, side won—51% of 4315 at avg 49¢, ROI 0%86% of 64 at avg 85¢, ROI 0%92% of 79 at avg 53¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢—14% (won 22% of 597)11% (won 0% of 7)8% (won 67% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢—43% (won 45% of 1867)3% (won 0% of 2)16% (won 92% of 13)
Entries 50–70¢—29% (won 59% of 1253)0%73% (won 95% of 58)
Entries 70¢ and up—14% (won 79% of 598)86% (won 100% of 55)3% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.