← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Tysha | 0x75d1B199a96801338e67a6eFAa35C0028eA87A5F-1770658242710 | 0xbe044D601FBe89c9E87eACFa57d813A31F783C60-1767997097941 | tradecraft | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 49% (1213–1271, n=2484) | 89% (48–6, n=54) | 49% (2015–2122, n=4137) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $60K | -$54K | $912K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #789 | Hand-picked | Hand-picked | PM monthly #293 |
| Sides with the consensus | 61% (22 of 36 open) | 25% (3 of 12 open) | 100% (14 of 14 open) | 44% (4 of 9 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | Politics −6 pts, n=74 | Geopolitics −1 pts, n=96 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 55% of 1049 at avg 50¢, ROI +8% | 84% of 190 at avg 84¢, ROI −2% | 57% of 2284 at avg 50¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 24% (won 19% of 254) | 6% (won 8% of 12) | 31% (won 10% of 707) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 23% (won 40% of 241) | 3% (won 40% of 5) | 18% (won 47% of 401) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 29% (won 70% of 304) | 9% (won 56% of 18) | 19% (won 77% of 426) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 24% (won 89% of 250) | 82% (won 95% of 155) | 33% (won 96% of 750) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Tysha | 0x75d1B199a96801338e67a6eFAa35C0028eA87A5F-1770658242710 | 0xbe044D601FBe89c9E87eACFa57d813A31F783C60-1767997097941 | tradecraft |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Mexico by December 31? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $207 | No $487 | — |