PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Tyatsmrssddssdx6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4177-letsgo
Record (consensus markets)no settled market63% (309–179, n=488)85% (236–41, n=277)86% (83–14, n=97)
Consensus PnL—$7.8K$429K-$175K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #996PM monthly #543PM monthly #485was PM monthly #135
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position58% (7 of 12 open)82% (58 of 71 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—96% of 315 at avg 67¢, ROI +29%91% of 289 at avg 89¢, ROI +1%98% of 83 at avg 90¢, ROI +7%
Entries under 30¢—6% (won 70% of 20)8% (won 0% of 22)0%
Entries 30–50¢—10% (won 91% of 32)1% (won 50% of 4)0%
Entries 50–70¢—32% (won 98% of 102)2% (won 86% of 7)0%
Entries 70¢ and up—51% (won 99% of 161)89% (won 100% of 256)100% (won 98% of 83)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.