PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Tyatsmrpenguin11250x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819
Record (consensus markets)no settled market47% (118–133, n=251)49% (273–287, n=560)
Consensus PnL—-$29K$87K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #996PM monthly #710PM monthly #743
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Soccer +54 pts n=11, ROI +53%
  • Esports +24 pts n=126, ROI +19%
  • NFL +14 pts n=14, ROI +28%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won—76% of 156 at avg 53¢, ROI +23%97% of 137 at avg 59¢, ROI +34%
Entries under 30¢—9% (won 57% of 14)12% (won 88% of 17)
Entries 30–50¢—37% (won 68% of 57)23% (won 100% of 32)
Entries 50–70¢—38% (won 83% of 60)30% (won 98% of 41)
Entries 70¢ and up—16% (won 88% of 25)34% (won 98% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.