PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Tyatsmrgghe3dswGourmet1themain
Record (consensus markets)no settled market85% (11–2, n=13)73% (161–59, n=220)65% (32–17, n=49)
Consensus PnL—$16K$3.4M-$244K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #996PM monthly #885PM monthly #620was PM monthly #590
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position33% (1 of 3 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 11 at avg 56¢, ROI +47%78% of 91 at avg 45¢, ROI +28%90% of 29 at avg 58¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢—0%20% (won 56% of 18)10% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢—18% (won 100% of 2)43% (won 87% of 39)24% (won 86% of 7)
Entries 50–70¢—73% (won 100% of 8)31% (won 82% of 28)28% (won 75% of 8)
Entries 70¢ and up—9% (won 100% of 1)7% (won 67% of 6)38% (won 100% of 11)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.