PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
RayderrVRVTeamhoney-spot88M
Record (consensus markets)no settled marketno settled market95% (230–11, n=241)49% (645–663, n=1308)
Consensus PnL——$112K$526K
Tracked asPM monthly #963was PM monthly #975was PM monthly #1000was PM monthly #629
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position50% (1 of 2 open)no open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • Crypto +22 pts n=201, ROI +23%
Weakest topic———Mentions −14 pts, n=12
Settled positions, side won100% of 1 at avg 35¢, ROI +60%52% of 65 at avg 27¢, ROI +5%97% of 202 at avg 75¢, ROI +23%55% of 1257 at avg 42¢, ROI +13%
Entries under 30¢0%57% (won 41% of 37)2% (won 40% of 5)27% (won 18% of 337)
Entries 30–50¢100% (won 100% of 1)32% (won 57% of 21)11% (won 86% of 22)36% (won 58% of 455)
Entries 50–70¢0%8% (won 100% of 5)22% (won 100% of 45)30% (won 75% of 371)
Entries 70¢ and up0%3% (won 100% of 2)64% (won 100% of 130)7% (won 87% of 94)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.