PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
b2d0GoalLineGhoststd00xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592
Record (consensus markets)50% (1–1, n=2)59% (3022–2075, n=5097)95% (9882–509, n=10391)92% (701–63, n=764)
Consensus PnL$144K$26.8M$34K$14.3M
Tracked asHand-pickedPM monthly #133was PM monthly #985was PM monthly #999
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)50% (22 of 44 open)no open consensus position0% (0 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • Soccer +31 pts n=3100, ROI +22%
  • Crypto +45 pts n=5979, ROI +46%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won80% of 10 at avg 86¢, ROI +8%99% of 3100 at avg 68¢, ROI +22%99% of 5979 at avg 53¢, ROI +46%99% of 731 at avg 59¢, ROI +42%
Entries under 30¢0%9% (won 94% of 286)1% (won 45% of 65)2% (won 100% of 14)
Entries 30–50¢0%11% (won 98% of 330)15% (won 98% of 885)15% (won 97% of 113)
Entries 50–70¢0%22% (won 99% of 697)78% (won 100% of 4649)65% (won 99% of 477)
Entries 70¢ and up100% (won 80% of 10)58% (won 100% of 1787)6% (won 96% of 380)17% (won 100% of 127)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.