PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
SSCCAAMMkindar0xE5F0AE9cc9aeF77ae3c2A64c9E69caa3F335dc1d-1773531520731vfhjghj1231234
Record (consensus markets)67% (88–43, n=131)89% (8–1, n=9)49% (619–632, n=1251)89% (47–6, n=53)
Consensus PnL$9.5K$381K$840K$65K
Tracked asPM monthly #973was PM monthly #37was PM monthly #746PM monthly #271
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position75% (6 of 8 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicMentions −14 pts, n=13—Mentions −15 pts, n=44—
Settled positions, side won62% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI −10%100% of 8 at avg 77¢, ROI +24%57% of 1153 at avg 42¢, ROI +13%90% of 41 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢14% (won 6% of 16)0%21% (won 37% of 241)0%
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 48% of 21)0%44% (won 56% of 513)22% (won 67% of 9)
Entries 50–70¢38% (won 62% of 42)38% (won 100% of 3)33% (won 70% of 384)68% (won 100% of 28)
Entries 70¢ and up29% (won 100% of 32)63% (won 100% of 5)1% (won 93% of 15)10% (won 75% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.