PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
NT.9980xd1f5c3dda3fe8d21f592c5f4d241c69fa2e793f4twinna0x6982049c65e98606f65A0CE71fDb9b61296dA165-1777135114945
Record (consensus markets)no settled market57% (8–6, n=14)47% (75–84, n=159)95% (597–29, n=626)
Consensus PnL—$193$60K$1.0M
Tracked asPM monthly #901PM monthly #790PM monthly #491was PM monthly #957
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)no open consensus position73% (11 of 15 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——NHL −7 pts, n=103—
Settled positions, side won—92% of 25 at avg 91¢, ROI +2%48% of 192 at avg 47¢, ROI +6%98% of 846 at avg 72¢, ROI +33%
Entries under 30¢—8% (won 50% of 2)18% (won 11% of 35)2% (won 85% of 20)
Entries 30–50¢—0%38% (won 45% of 73)10% (won 97% of 88)
Entries 50–70¢—0%32% (won 60% of 62)22% (won 97% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up—92% (won 96% of 23)11% (won 86% of 22)65% (won 99% of 551)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.