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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Miojinho | melganis | machinelearned | texaskid | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 68% (63–29, n=92) | 79% (1034–278, n=1312) | 65% (2219–1202, n=3421) | 66% (367–187, n=554) |
| Consensus PnL | $36K | $56K | $35K | $7.0M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #694 | Hand-picked | PM monthly #548 | was PM monthly #51 |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (2 of 3 open) | 71% (29 of 41 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | Crypto −2 pts, n=71 | — | College Basketball ±0 pts, n=29 |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 74% of 1660 at avg 69¢, ROI +2% | 98% of 1295 at avg 73¢, ROI +21% | 75% of 566 at avg 53¢, ROI +19% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 20% (won 7% of 324) | 3% (won 64% of 42) | 1% (won 0% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 6% (won 41% of 99) | 6% (won 93% of 75) | 26% (won 68% of 148) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 8% (won 70% of 125) | 28% (won 100% of 360) | 69% (won 78% of 392) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 67% (won 97% of 1112) | 63% (won 100% of 818) | 4% (won 87% of 23) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Miojinho | melganis | machinelearned | texaskid |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.4K | Yes $134 | — | — |