← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Miojinho | melganis | 0010001000001100 | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 68% (63–29, n=92) | 79% (1034–278, n=1312) | 81% (1284–298, n=1582) | 47% (125–143, n=268) |
| Consensus PnL | $36K | $56K | $127K | $19.3M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #685 | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #799 | was PM monthly #715 |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (2 of 3 open) | 71% (29 of 41 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | Crypto −2 pts, n=71 | NBA −2 pts, n=70 | College Basketball −12 pts, n=163 |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 74% of 1660 at avg 69¢, ROI +2% | 87% of 1457 at avg 70¢, ROI +10% | 50% of 1273 at avg 50¢, ROI −2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 20% (won 7% of 324) | 11% (won 45% of 155) | 0% (won 0% of 5) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 6% (won 41% of 99) | 11% (won 72% of 159) | 42% (won 47% of 535) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 8% (won 70% of 125) | 16% (won 89% of 232) | 57% (won 51% of 729) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 67% (won 97% of 1112) | 63% (won 97% of 911) | 0% (won 100% of 4) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Miojinho | melganis | 0010001000001100 | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.4K | Yes $134 | — | — |