PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Miojinho0x9276a06e653bb5c9be6854ba37c8f9167f405786maxiplayerjesterthegoose
Record (consensus markets)no settled market53% (26–23, n=49)80% (615–154, n=769)80% (284–70, n=354)
Consensus PnL—-$479$74K$207K
Tracked asPM monthly #698PM monthly #880PM monthly #623was PM monthly #562 + pinned
Sides with the consensus67% (2 of 3 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Tennis −8 pts, n=62—Elections −5 pts, n=12
Settled positions, side won—90% of 62 at avg 98¢, ROI 0%80% of 668 at avg 76¢, ROI +4%80% of 579 at avg 79¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢—2% (won 0% of 1)11% (won 21% of 76)14% (won 8% of 83)
Entries 30–50¢—0%9% (won 53% of 58)5% (won 39% of 28)
Entries 50–70¢—0%9% (won 65% of 57)5% (won 65% of 31)
Entries 70¢ and up—98% (won 92% of 61)71% (won 95% of 477)75% (won 97% of 437)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.