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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| Miojinho | melganis | 88M | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 79% (1030–277, n=1307) | 49% (645–663, n=1308) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $55K | $526K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #698 | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #629 |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (2 of 3 open) | 73% (30 of 41 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | Crypto −2 pts, n=71 | Mentions −14 pts, n=12 |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 74% of 1660 at avg 69¢, ROI +2% | 55% of 1257 at avg 42¢, ROI +13% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 20% (won 7% of 324) | 27% (won 18% of 337) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 6% (won 41% of 99) | 36% (won 58% of 455) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 8% (won 70% of 125) | 30% (won 75% of 371) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 67% (won 97% of 1112) | 7% (won 87% of 94) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Miojinho | melganis | 88M |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.4K | Yes $134 | — |