PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Maki777Lackvillhoney-spot88M
Record (consensus markets)no settled market62% (86–53, n=139)95% (230–11, n=241)49% (645–663, n=1308)
Consensus PnL—$4.5K$112K$526K
Tracked asPM monthly #560was PM monthly #968was PM monthly #1000was PM monthly #629
Sides with the consensus50% (2 of 4 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Crypto +38 pts n=12, ROI +13%
  • Soccer +13 pts n=30, ROI +25%
  • NFL +5 pts n=52, ROI +22%
  • Crypto +22 pts n=201, ROI +23%
Weakest topic———Mentions −14 pts, n=12
Settled positions, side won—60% of 195 at avg 52¢, ROI +11%97% of 202 at avg 75¢, ROI +23%55% of 1257 at avg 42¢, ROI +13%
Entries under 30¢—20% (won 15% of 39)2% (won 40% of 5)27% (won 18% of 337)
Entries 30–50¢—19% (won 53% of 38)11% (won 86% of 22)36% (won 58% of 455)
Entries 50–70¢—37% (won 68% of 73)22% (won 100% of 45)30% (won 75% of 371)
Entries 70¢ and up—23% (won 91% of 45)64% (won 100% of 130)7% (won 87% of 94)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.