PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
MAGATheeStallion0xef81a375c9a02906780e3b8241145ea10ee7222duninformedfloww0xd9670ea74384c1e1b9dc1e4267ffadaf4cdd140
Record (consensus markets)no settled market50% (2–2, n=4)66% (16430–8405, n=24835)88% (35–5, n=40)
Consensus PnL—$249$31K$1.2M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #973was PM monthly #995PM monthly #432was PM monthly #77
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position83% (5 of 6 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—0% of 2 at avg 2¢, ROI +79%66% of 5040 at avg 62¢, ROI +11%100% of 32 at avg 55¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢—100% (won 0% of 2)16% (won 12% of 794)0%
Entries 30–50¢—0%16% (won 35% of 788)47% (won 100% of 15)
Entries 50–70¢—0%17% (won 66% of 870)31% (won 100% of 10)
Entries 70¢ and up—0%51% (won 92% of 2588)22% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.