PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x20D6436849F930584892730C7F96eBB2Ac763856-1768642056357Rex416
Record (consensus markets)57% (524–389, n=913)59% (2278–1577, n=3855)
Consensus PnL$598K$36K
Tracked asPM monthly #73PM monthly #249
Sides with the consensus83% (5 of 6 open)76% (97 of 127 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicNBA −1 pts, n=279Tennis −4 pts, n=294
Settled positions, side won57% of 957 at avg 50¢, ROI +4%56% of 4201 at avg 56¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 25% of 114)28% (won 7% of 1156)
Entries 30–50¢44% (won 54% of 418)12% (won 36% of 520)
Entries 50–70¢33% (won 63% of 312)15% (won 61% of 611)
Entries 70¢ and up12% (won 89% of 113)46% (won 90% of 1914)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.