PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)57% (524–389, n=913)46% (119–138, n=257)
Consensus PnL$598K$18.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #73was PM monthly #715
Sides with the consensus83% (5 of 6 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NHL +5 pts n=186, ROI +6%
Weakest topicNBA −1 pts, n=279College Basketball −8 pts, n=259
Settled positions, side won57% of 957 at avg 50¢, ROI +4%50% of 1403 at avg 50¢, ROI −1%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 25% of 114)0% (won 0% of 5)
Entries 30–50¢44% (won 54% of 418)41% (won 48% of 575)
Entries 50–70¢33% (won 63% of 312)58% (won 51% of 819)
Entries 70¢ and up12% (won 89% of 113)0% (won 100% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.