PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
LTandBBuninformedflowwUsername2133Pitter
Record (consensus markets)no settled market66% (16430–8405, n=24835)47% (8–9, n=17)49% (225–232, n=457)
Consensus PnL—$31K$72K$49K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #991PM monthly #455PM monthly #677Hand-picked
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)100% (5 of 5 open)100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic———Politics −5 pts, n=52
Settled positions, side won—66% of 5040 at avg 62¢, ROI +11%97% of 37 at avg 76¢, ROI −5%36% of 1019 at avg 34¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢—16% (won 12% of 794)0%53% (won 6% of 545)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 35% of 788)5% (won 100% of 2)13% (won 50% of 136)
Entries 50–70¢—17% (won 66% of 870)32% (won 100% of 12)17% (won 65% of 175)
Entries 70¢ and up—51% (won 92% of 2588)62% (won 96% of 23)16% (won 92% of 163)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.