PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
LTandBB0xbbf379252411511ADAb081F016Dc991aA6bbAA3A-1768154730738Username2133MEPP
Record (consensus markets)no settled market87% (516–77, n=593)47% (8–9, n=17)65% (345–184, n=529)
Consensus PnL—$759K$72K$557K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #991was PM monthly #735PM monthly #657was PM monthly #959 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position100% (5 of 5 open)79% (65 of 82 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Esports +42 pts n=292, ROI +40%
  • MLB +42 pts n=89, ROI +41%
  • Tennis +27 pts n=182, ROI +34%
Weakest topic———Entertainment −18 pts, n=11
Settled positions, side won—90% of 709 at avg 56¢, ROI +38%97% of 37 at avg 76¢, ROI −5%66% of 767 at avg 62¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢—2% (won 58% of 12)0%20% (won 14% of 151)
Entries 30–50¢—23% (won 87% of 166)5% (won 100% of 2)11% (won 34% of 82)
Entries 50–70¢—66% (won 91% of 465)32% (won 100% of 12)19% (won 66% of 144)
Entries 70¢ and up—9% (won 94% of 66)62% (won 96% of 23)51% (won 93% of 390)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketLTandBB0xbbf379252411511ADAb081F016Dc991aA6bbAA3A-1768154730738Username2133MEPP
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $930Yes $9.3K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $930Yes $7.0K