← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Kickstand7 | pspspsps5 | machinelearned | NiNo999 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 63% (11398–6646, n=18044) | 65% (2219–1202, n=3421) | 88% (488–65, n=553) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $274K | $35K | $9.7M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #213 | PM monthly #568 | PM monthly #548 | was PM monthly #985 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (4 of 4 open) | 0% (0 of 4 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 100% of 7800 at avg 61¢, ROI +37% | 98% of 1295 at avg 73¢, ROI +21% | 90% of 502 at avg 50¢, ROI +42% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 26% (won 100% of 1995) | 3% (won 64% of 42) | 7% (won 81% of 37) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 13% (won 100% of 988) | 6% (won 93% of 75) | 39% (won 85% of 197) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 14% (won 100% of 1083) | 28% (won 100% of 360) | 49% (won 94% of 244) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 48% (won 100% of 3734) | 63% (won 100% of 818) | 5% (won 96% of 24) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Kickstand7 | pspspsps5 | machinelearned | NiNo999 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET opposite sides · consensus Down | — | Up $7 | Down $476 | — |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET opposite sides · consensus Up | — | Down $49 | Up $415 | — |