PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Kickstand7BENFICAAYABLAKOLuckyWin
Record (consensus markets)no settled market78% (14–4, n=18)79% (22–6, n=28)88% (693–98, n=791)
Consensus PnL—$36K$14K$29K
Tracked asPM monthly #212Hand-pickedwas PM monthly #931was PM monthly #579
Sides with the consensus100% (4 of 4 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position80% (4 of 5 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Crypto −11 pts, n=10—NBA −7 pts, n=48
Settled positions, side won—87% of 52 at avg 83¢, ROI +6%82% of 28 at avg 46¢, ROI +45%88% of 738 at avg 88¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢—6% (won 0% of 3)7% (won 50% of 2)7% (won 8% of 48)
Entries 30–50¢—4% (won 0% of 2)57% (won 88% of 16)4% (won 44% of 32)
Entries 50–70¢—8% (won 100% of 4)29% (won 88% of 8)7% (won 56% of 48)
Entries 70¢ and up—83% (won 95% of 43)7% (won 50% of 2)83% (won 99% of 610)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketKickstand7BENFICAAYABLAKOLuckyWin
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $22No $4.8K——