PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Kickstand70x50f70010001000001100Bonereaper
Record (consensus markets)no settled market83% (37751–7791, n=45542)81% (1284–298, n=1582)86% (43246–6849, n=50095)
Consensus PnL—$562K$127K$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #210PM monthly #319was PM monthly #799PM monthly #273
Sides with the consensus100% (4 of 4 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position45% (5 of 11 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Crypto +7 pts n=28117, ROI +2%
  • Soccer +18 pts n=1284, ROI +10%
  • F1 +20 pts n=26, ROI +13%
  • NFL +13 pts n=36, ROI +3%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=127, ROI +37%
  • Crypto +32 pts n=36486, ROI +24%
Weakest topic——NBA −2 pts, n=70—
Settled positions, side won—89% of 28117 at avg 81¢, ROI +2%87% of 1457 at avg 70¢, ROI +10%98% of 36616 at avg 67¢, ROI +24%
Entries under 30¢—14% (won 18% of 3904)11% (won 45% of 155)4% (won 85% of 1370)
Entries 30–50¢—3% (won 100% of 787)11% (won 72% of 159)16% (won 95% of 5840)
Entries 50–70¢—6% (won 100% of 1765)16% (won 89% of 232)35% (won 98% of 12695)
Entries 70¢ and up—77% (won 100% of 21661)63% (won 97% of 911)46% (won 100% of 16711)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketKickstand70x50f70010001000001100Bonereaper
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
opposite sides · consensus Down
—Down $743—Up $123