PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
franeotbtexastechboosterLuckyWinasdaasda
Record (consensus markets)65% (48–26, n=74)47% (134–154, n=288)88% (726–102, n=828)68% (625–289, n=914)
Consensus PnL$24K$80K$30K$68K
Tracked asHand-pickedwas PM monthly #940was PM monthly #579PM monthly #318
Sides with the consensus33% (1 of 3 open)0% (0 of 2 open)71% (5 of 7 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Esports +3 pts n=153, ROI +2%
  • NHL +8 pts n=14, ROI −14%
  • Crypto +36 pts n=421, ROI +40%
Weakest topic—Soccer −9 pts, n=46NBA −7 pts, n=48—
Settled positions, side won97% of 147 at avg 67¢, ROI +24%47% of 250 at avg 47¢, ROI +2%88% of 770 at avg 88¢, ROI 0%99% of 421 at avg 63¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 70% of 10)18% (won 18% of 44)7% (won 8% of 51)5% (won 90% of 21)
Entries 30–50¢12% (won 100% of 17)35% (won 47% of 88)4% (won 42% of 33)16% (won 99% of 69)
Entries 50–70¢31% (won 98% of 45)40% (won 53% of 101)6% (won 55% of 49)43% (won 99% of 182)
Entries 70¢ and up51% (won 100% of 75)7% (won 88% of 17)83% (won 99% of 637)35% (won 100% of 149)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketfraneotbtexastechboosterLuckyWinasdaasda
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $5.4KYes $1—